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Connecting the Central Bank Dots

Connecting the Central Bank Dots

Global central bankers will take center stage in what is sure to be an important week for anyone tracking where borrowing costs go next.  At a Glance No use denying it: Wednesday afternoon is the marquee moment of the week, with the Fed announcing its latest interest rate decision at 2pm ET. That will likely…Read more

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Connecting the Central Bank Dots

Whether the Fed Should Hike Rates

Whether the Fed Should Hike Rates

To Hike, Or Not to Hike We’re not going to bury the lede here: We do not think the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates at its September meeting. We also don’t think it should hike rates at its October meeting. We’ll even take it one step further and say that by the Fed’s December…Read more

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Whether the Fed Should Hike Rates

Why Markets Flail in Fall

Why Markets Flail in Fall

September Scaries A curious thing tends to happen around this time of year: Markets get jumpy.  The seasonal explanation is that investors returning from summer vacations start preparing their portfolios for the remainder of the year. If there’s rebalancing, it can pull money out of top-performing assets. But this year, although we could have almost…Read more

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Why Markets Flail in Fall
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